Author :
Abstract
Migration and employment issues are among the main problems of many economies. While the phenomenon of migration can be defined as the geographical displacement of people, it has many macroeconomic effects. The relationship between migration and unemployment varies according to the conditions of each country. When the migration and unemployment literature is examined, the results on this subject are different from each other and there is no complete consensus. In the study, the relationship between migration and unemployment was investigated with the annual data of 2001-2019 for the G7 countries. For this purpose, panel ARDL analysis was used. Evidence in the study showed a statistically significant relationship between migration and unemployment variables, and a long-term relationship was found between migration and unemployment. According to the panel ARDL results, a 1% increase in immigration reduces unemployment by about 0.62%. As a result, since the phenomenon of migration is determined by many factors; it is necessary to develop policies specific to countries.
Keywords
Abstract
Pek çok ekonominin temel problemleri arasında göç ve istihdam konuları yer almaktadır. Göç olgusu insanların coğrafi olarak yer değiştirmesi şeklinde tanımlanabilirken, pek çok makroekonomik etkiler barındırmaktadır. Göç ve işsizlik ilişkisi her ülkenin şartlarına göre değişiklik göstermektedir. Göç ve işsizlik literatürü incelendiğinde bu konudaki sonuçlar birbirinden farklı olup, tam bir görüş birliği bulunmamaktadır. Çalışmada göç ve işsizlik arasındaki ilişki G7 ülkeleri (Kanada, Fransa, Almanya, İtalya, Japonya, İngiltere ve ABD) için 2001-2019 dönemi yıllık veriler kullanılarak araştırılmıştır. Bu amaç doğrultusunda panel ARDL analizine başvurulmuştur. Çalışmadaki kanıtlar, göç ve işsizlik değişkenleri arasında istatistiksel olarak anlamlı ilişki göstermiş olup, göç ve işsizlik arasında uzun dönemli ilişkiye rastlanmıştır. Analizden elde edilen sonuçlara göre göç düzeyinde gerçekleşen % 1’lik artış işsizliği yaklaşık % 0.62 oranında azaltmaktadır. Sonuç olarak göç olgusu birçok faktör tarafından belirlendiği için; politika yapıcılar ülkeler özelinde politikalar geliştirmelidir.
Keywords
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