SHARE IN GROWTH FIGURES OF THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR IN TURKEY: 1999-2017 TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
TÜRKİYE’ DE İNŞAAT SEKTÖRÜNÜN BÜYÜME RAKAMLARI İÇİNDEKİ PAYI: 1999-2017 ZAMAN SERİSİ ANALİZİ

Author : Göksel BACAKLIOĞLU -- Erkan POYRAZ
Number of pages : 422-432

Abstract

Aim: The aim of the studies in the last twenty years, Turkey's construction sector of Turkey 's 3 through the time series proportion of GDP to determine if sooner month period. Method: In the research, the growth figures in the construction sector for the quarters between January 1999 and December 2017 and the GDP were obtained by taking the time series with the Eviews software package. Extended Dickey - Fuller Unit Root Test (ADF), Johansen Cointegration Test and Granger Causality Test were applied. Result: As a result of the tests conducted in the study, it was found that the series were not stationary, ie the unit root. Johansen Cointegration Test results made in, has been identified as cointegration, Granger Causality Analysis done well in Turkey's GDP of the construction sector's appeared to be the cause. Conlusion: The construction sector was to determine the effect on GDP of Turkey's consideration of the situation in 2018 is necessary to prevent the decline in the construction sector.

Keywords

Construction, GDP, Growth, Cointegration, Granger Causality

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