AN EMPRICAL STUDY ABOUT THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN P/E RATIO AND INDEX RETURN: AN EXAMPLE OF BIST100
F/K ORANI İLE ENDEKS GETİRİLERİ ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ ÜZERİNE AMPİRİK BİR ÇALIŞMA: BİST100 ÖRNEĞİ

Author : Emre Hayri BARAZ -- Bahatdin DAŞBAŞI
Number of pages : 478-486

Abstract

There are many study about the effect of P/E ratio on stockreturns. These studies concluded that P/E ratio is effective on stockreturns and it can assists (albeit in low level) to investors in forecasting the stockreturns. This study analyses whether there is a relationship between P/E ratio and returns of BİST100. For this purpose theregression equations have been estimated between monthly P/E ratios and 1 month, 3 month, 6 month , 1 year, 2 year and 3 years holding returns (calculated both arithmetic and geometric methods). P/E ratio was related with just 2 year arithmetic return in the first phase. The regression equations are estimated again by adding dummy variable subsequently showed that the relation between P/E ratio and all holding returns (except 1 month arithmetic) are statisticaly important.

Keywords

P/E Ratio, BIST100, Return, Regression

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